Prediction of Pedro Rodenas vs Leonid Sheyngezikht at M15 Castellon 10-18-25

• Pedro Rodenas has a stronger recent second serve performance, winning 41.08% of points compared to Leonid Sheyngezikht's 36.52%. This can give Rodenas an advantage in service games.
• In terms of returning, Sheyngezikht edges out slightly by winning 50.25% of opponent's second serve points against Rodenas' 47.70%. Could this give Sheyngezikht an upper hand in breaking serve more often?
• Both players have nearly identical success rates on first serve returns, with Rodenas at 33.85% and Sheyngezikht close behind at 33.38%.
• Under pressure, Rodenas has the edge, saving 51.88% of breakpoints, while Sheyngezikht saves 46.47%. This could be crucial in tight situations.
• Looking at overall win-loss records in the past year, Sheyngezikht has performed better, with a win rate of 66.13% compared to Rodenas' 59.09%.
• Both players excel on clay, with a career win percentage of 64% for each. However, Sheyngezikht struggles more on hard surfaces compared to Rodenas.
• Sheyngezikht has played against higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 116.29) compared to Rodenas (average rank of 446.05), suggesting more experience against competitive players.
• In deciding sets, Sheyngezikht again takes the lead with a 50% win rate compared to Rodenas' 33% over the last year.

Editorial Prediction (October 18, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Pedro Rodenas and Leonid Sheyngezikht is poised to be a tightly contested battle. Both players have demonstrated clear strengths in recent performances, though each has distinct advantages.

Pedro Rodenas shows a solid second serve performance and greater breakpoint resilience, key areas that may help him maintain control during critical points. Meanwhile, Leonid Sheyngezikht's impressive return game and experience against higher-ranked opponents present significant challenges for Rodenas to overcome.

The choice of surface could neutralize differences, as both excel on clay, their strongest surface by far. However, it is Sheyngezikht's overall winning ratio and success in crucial deciding sets that present a marginal yet noticeable edge.

Considering the comprehensive stats and matchup history, Leonid Sheyngezikht is slightly favored to win this match.